Where Is The World Headed?

2_of_Eight2_of_Eight Join Date: 2003-08-20 Member: 20016Members
How do you imagine the world in 50 years? 100 years? 500? 2000? 10000?
The world is deteorating (sp?). Non-renewable sources of energy are on the decline. Species become extinct every day. People in third world countries are starving to death, while people in developed countries enjoy their life, living carelessly.
The world is becoming polluted. Ozone holes are growing. Global temperatures are rising. I could go on for a long time, but I'd like to know what you think now. How do you see the world in the future? How would we be living? <i>Will</i> we be living?
Post your thoughts.
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Comments

  • RyoOhkiRyoOhki Join Date: 2003-01-26 Member: 12789Members
    <a href='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/index.php?act=ST&f=28&t=47481' target='_blank'>http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/in...ST&f=28&t=47481</a>

    The thread linked to above essentially covers this. It also includes my replies on the subject.
  • 2_of_Eight2_of_Eight Join Date: 2003-08-20 Member: 20016Members
    <!--QuoteBegin--Ryo-Ohki+Oct 5 2003, 12:36 PM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (Ryo-Ohki @ Oct 5 2003, 12:36 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> <a href='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/index.php?act=ST&f=28&t=47481' target='_blank'>http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/in...ST&f=28&t=47481</a>

    The thread linked to above essentially covers this. <!--QuoteEnd--> </td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'> <!--QuoteEEnd-->
    No it doesn't. It talks about mostly political happenings, not environmental.
  • KherasKheras Join Date: 2002-11-09 Member: 7869Members
    What do I think? Well, firstly there's no evidence that global temperatures are rising nor any that CO2 causes it.

    I think that we'll have alternate power sources well in time before our petroleum supply runs out. Probably going to have a renewable gasoline alternative in the next one or two decades. What will have to happen though is an increase of nuclear power generation, 'cuz crops aren't gonna cut it for that kind of consumption.

    We'll be living much as we are now in the next 100 years. And the starving third world nations will live much as they do now, because they are becoming more dependent on aid. In the short run, AIDS will probably ease the famine by decreasing the population in Africa. In some places it will be by a third or more.

    Also, this has been beaten into the ground and was then jumped up and down on. Doomsday scenarios sound nice when a cute hippy chick is holding a sign and spouting them off..... but it's never gotten as bas as any of 'em said it would. <!--emo&:p--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/tounge.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='tounge.gif'><!--endemo-->

    Prediction over 500 or 1000 years is just ridiculous. There's no way we'll be able to guess at that, or fathom it.
  • kidakida Join Date: 2003-02-20 Member: 13778Members
    In the next 100 years we'll have upgraded out technology more than what we have accomplished in the last 100 years.
    I am pretty sure there is evidence that our global temperature is rising, it was in my textbook somewhere. Humans will slowly have to adapt to the changing temperature or rising water levels. It could be possible that the water levels will force Japan and such under water. But most likely humans by then will have produced cleaner fuels and whatnot. The government will be extremely strick about such and such.
  • Doug_the_HeadDoug_the_Head Join Date: 2003-03-26 Member: 14909Members
    Why does everyone have the idea that water levels will increase to catostrophic levels? Image how much water is displaced by giant glaciers and iceburgs, now consider that water takes up more volume frozen than in liquid form. If all the ice on the planet melted (highly unlikely, even with a significant rise in temperatures) the average water level would only increase a matter of meters.
  • BogglesteinskyBogglesteinsky Join Date: 2002-12-24 Member: 11488Members
    and even then, it would only be the ice on land that we would have to worry about. The north pole melting wouldnt change the level one bit because the ice is floating
  • StakhanovStakhanov Join Date: 2003-03-12 Member: 14448Members
    <!--QuoteBegin--Doug the Head+Oct 5 2003, 08:14 PM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (Doug the Head @ Oct 5 2003, 08:14 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> Why does everyone have the idea that water levels will increase to catostrophic levels? Image how much water is displaced by giant glaciers and iceburgs, now consider that water takes up more volume frozen than in liquid form. If all the ice on the planet melted (highly unlikely, even with a significant rise in temperatures) the average water level would only increase a matter of meters. <!--QuoteEnd--> </td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'> <!--QuoteEEnd-->
    With "only a few more meters" Manhattan and many other coastal cities would be utterly flooded.
  • 2_of_Eight2_of_Eight Join Date: 2003-08-20 Member: 20016Members
    Water levels will rise by 3 meters if some percent of the world's ice would melt.
    Temperature will increase by 5.4 degrees in the next 100 years.
    It's true! <!--emo&:0--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/wow.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='wow.gif'><!--endemo-->
  • Hida_TsuzuaHida_Tsuzua Lamarck&#39;s Heir Join Date: 2002-01-25 Member: 79Members, NS1 Playtester
    Firstly, no matter who says it predictions are still that predictions at best and dead wrong at worst (in 2 years Flayra will take over the world with the Kharaa!).

    As for the future, it'll be worse than what everyone fears and better than what everyone hopes.
  • KherasKheras Join Date: 2002-11-09 Member: 7869Members
    There is evidence that the global climate fluctuates naturally, we're coming out of a mini ice age. I was referring to human influence as a factor.
  • 2_of_Eight2_of_Eight Join Date: 2003-08-20 Member: 20016Members
    Yeah, I read somewhere that the Earth is between the 4th and 5th ice age of this era (mesozoic? no?).
  • KherasKheras Join Date: 2002-11-09 Member: 7869Members
    Yuppers, last glacial maximum was around 18,000 years ago. If you're interested in the subject, look up the Milankovitch cycle. It's a simple concept but very interesting.

    I apologize for being unable to find a good site offhand, but it took me a while just to remember how to spell it. <!--emo&:p--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/tounge.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='tounge.gif'><!--endemo--> And I am so very tired.
  • V_MANV_MAN V-MAN Join Date: 2002-11-03 Member: 6217Members, Constellation
    edited October 2003
    The human race is gonna destroy itself we will never learn to get along with each other because we are nothing but savage animals it doesn't matter what we do we will always compete with someone at it and always be trying to take what our neighbour has when we don't have it ourselves.

    Don't believe me, just wait until oil starts running out and see what happens when the nations that have the remaining supplies try to charge countries that don't have it 10 times as much.
  • Hida_TsuzuaHida_Tsuzua Lamarck&#39;s Heir Join Date: 2002-01-25 Member: 79Members, NS1 Playtester
    Then they'll move to oil sand (though that'll make Canada a world power). Coal is another choice as there's more coal, and coal can become oil. Other methods of power generation suddenly become much more acceptable with a great increase in the price of oil (solar, wind, gas, nuclear, etc). Lately if some smart guy comes up with fusion in a can or something similiar then our worries over power, water, and nearly anything else is over.
  • DiscoZombieDiscoZombie Join Date: 2003-08-05 Member: 18951Members
    it's hard for a humble citizen such as myself to guess at what the world will be like. I think oil is gonna run out sooner than everyone thinks, but I also wouldn't be surprised if alternative energy sources are already perfected but are being kept hush-hush because of how lucrative the petrolium industry is...

    environmental degradation is a lot slower than it was during the industrial revolution, at least in the United States, which is a good thing... water resources are horrid in a lot of third world countries though... and we'll run out of places to put our trash eventually... 2100 will be to today as today is is to 1900... that's about all I can say.
  • rm2kacerrm2kacer Join Date: 2003-09-13 Member: 20841Banned
    <!--QuoteBegin--Hida Tsuzua+Oct 5 2003, 10:29 PM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (Hida Tsuzua @ Oct 5 2003, 10:29 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> Then they'll move to oil sand (though that'll make Canada a world power). Coal is another choice as there's more coal, and coal can become oil. Other methods of power generation suddenly become much more acceptable with a great increase in the price of oil (solar, wind, gas, nuclear, etc). Lately if some smart guy comes up with fusion in a can or something similiar then our worries over power, water, and nearly anything else is over. <!--QuoteEnd--> </td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'> <!--QuoteEEnd-->
    while thats all nice and good, the prospect of just about anyone haveing fusion in a can is terrifying...
  • DiscoZombieDiscoZombie Join Date: 2003-08-05 Member: 18951Members
    they really oughta perfect fuel cells. And put more massive solar power farms out in the desert somewhere...
  • That_Annoying_KidThat_Annoying_Kid Sire of Titles Join Date: 2003-03-01 Member: 14175Members, Constellation
    down

    simple as that, unless we have massive change for the better
  • 2_of_Eight2_of_Eight Join Date: 2003-08-20 Member: 20016Members
    edited October 2003
    Oh yes. I forgot to mention about non-decomposable materials.
    Plastic. It takes about 400 years for plastic to decompose, in a well-ventilated and bacteriated (<!--emo&:D--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/biggrin.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='biggrin.gif'><!--endemo-->) environment. In dumps, it might take more than 700. And with the constantly increasing amount of garbage being dumped in landfills, it might take even more time. And if the garbage is compressed? Thousands?!
    I don't see why so many people don't recycle. Only about 15% (Great Britain statistic) of the plastic thrown out is recycled. Why not 100%? Are people that lazy?
  • EvisceratorEviscerator Join Date: 2003-02-24 Member: 13946Members, Constellation
    <!--QuoteBegin--Kheras+Oct 5 2003, 11:30 AM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (Kheras @ Oct 5 2003, 11:30 AM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> I think that we'll have alternate power sources well in time before our petroleum supply runs out. Probably going to have a renewable gasoline alternative in the next one or two decades. What will have to happen though is an increase of nuclear power generation, 'cuz crops aren't gonna cut it for that kind of consumption.
    <!--QuoteEnd--> </td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'> <!--QuoteEEnd-->
    I agree with this part. In fact, I decided after 9/11 to change my career and go back to school to get into engineering just so that I could help to find alternatives to non-renewable fossil fuels. I figure our supply of oil is just not going to cut it for more than the next 50-75 years. If we don't stop buying gas-whoring SUVs here in America we're just going to accelerate this inevitable collapse faster than we can plan an escape from it. Which can only lead to a very large and catastrophic crash. The people most responsible for this inevitability won't be alive in 50 years to see it happen, so they just don't give a damn.

    If you've read any of my other posts here in the last couple weeks, you know my stance on what the Bush Administration is aiming to control: oil. Lots of problems this little energy source creates for the world. Not the least of which is environmental. Far more death and destruction is caused by groups attempting to control this resource. It's like we're playing a big game of NS, and there's a huge fight on for the resource nodes across the planet. The Persian Gulf/Central Asia represents a triple res node, and everyone wants to be there.

    As for what the world would be like in 5000 years, that of course can only be speculation. It sure is fun to think about it and worthy of discussion, however, since most of what people post here are opinions and beliefs, not facts. I think in 5000 years homo sapiens will have an incredibly reduced role in the ecosystem. We will have driven the Earth to the point which it can no longer sustain our burgeoning population. Life as a whole of course will continue, as it has for the last 4.5 billion years. We will slowly go extinct. It may take 10,000 years of our own stupidity, the coming of another ice age, or a comet/asteroid impact. Whatever the cause, we are not going to be able to stay on this planet for eternity. Earth's history is littered with mass extinctions. Our instincts will be so dulled and worthless come the next hardship that we too will fall victim to the extinction.

    There is a chance for homo sapien eternity, however. Our one hope for lasting beyond this extinction is to move somewhere else and begin to expand outside our solar system. The obstacles to that seem quite daunting, however, without us having any kind of true understanding of even the most basic of natural laws... like gravity. Perhaps something incredibly revolutionary, like a working Unified Field Theory, will come within the next few centuries and enable us to overcome that which we are so dependent on.

    Every organism on the planet can be broken down into a very simple orchestration and collection of molecules. Yet all we can do is attempt to manipulate these organisms by playing around with their DNA sequences. We don't truly know what's going on at the molecular level. Why is the genome for an onion 200 times as large as that for homo sapiens? Once we can answer these questions, we can start to manipulate our world to the point that life is sustainable elsewhere, using resources completely foreign to what our thinking is today. We think we're wholly dependent on the sun, oxygen, and water. Yet there are creatures living on hydothermal vents on the ocean floor, boiling in 300 degree water, collecting minerals to survive. They don't need the sun, and they survive at pressures that would violently crush a human. Once we understand how these creatures manage to survive in human-hostile environments, we can begin to design our own organisms... from the ground up... that will help us to survive journeys through space and to other planets.

    The only question is whether we'll survive long enough to get there...
  • 2_of_Eight2_of_Eight Join Date: 2003-08-20 Member: 20016Members
    Mmm, speculation food.
    Post more of your thoughts about the far future! <!--emo&:D--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/biggrin.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='biggrin.gif'><!--endemo--> I love hearing them.
    I don't care if they arne't facts. I like it all <!--emo&:)--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/smile.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='smile.gif'><!--endemo-->
  • dr_ddr_d Join Date: 2003-03-28 Member: 14979Members
    edited October 2003
    <!--QuoteBegin--rm2kacer+Oct 6 2003, 02:35 AM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (rm2kacer @ Oct 6 2003, 02:35 AM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> <!--QuoteBegin--Hida Tsuzua+Oct 5 2003, 10:29 PM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (Hida Tsuzua @ Oct 5 2003, 10:29 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> Then they'll move to oil sand (though that'll make Canada a world power).  Coal is another choice as there's more coal, and coal can become oil.  Other methods of power generation suddenly become much more acceptable with a great increase in the price of oil (solar, wind, gas, nuclear, etc).  Lately if some smart guy comes up with fusion in a can or something similiar then our worries over power, water, and nearly anything else is over. <!--QuoteEnd--></td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'><!--QuoteEEnd-->
    while thats all nice and good, the prospect of just about anyone haveing fusion in a can is terrifying... <!--QuoteEnd--></td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'><!--QuoteEEnd-->
    I invented cold fusion a few years ago and I kept meaning on presenting it to the world but something kept comming up, man I need to stop procrastinating.


    Well the way things are going now we'll probably have nanotechnology in the next decade, and have it compltely implemented in the next 60 years. If I remember correctly nanotech can be used to produce energy, no yes?
  • EvisceratorEviscerator Join Date: 2003-02-24 Member: 13946Members, Constellation
    You can buy Cold Fusion in a box for only $1300. Piece of cake. <a href='http://shop.macromedia.com/dr/v2/ec_MAIN.Entry17c?CID=0&PN=5&SP=10007&SID=46165&PID=576067&DSP=&CUR=840&PGRP=0&CACHE_ID=0' target='_blank'>ColdFusion!</a> <!--emo&:p--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/tounge.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='tounge.gif'><!--endemo-->
  • MelatoninMelatonin Babbler Join Date: 2003-03-15 Member: 14551Members, Constellation
    after watching the news today, i firmly beleive in 50 years, china will be growing space vegetables.
    its weird but the zero gravity makes normal vegetables likw 35% bigger!
    imagine the implications of bulk growing and shipping these giant vegetables!

    also china wants to mine the moon.

    ...[i **** ye not]
  • EvisceratorEviscerator Join Date: 2003-02-24 Member: 13946Members, Constellation
    <!--QuoteBegin--Melatonin+Oct 6 2003, 07:09 PM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (Melatonin @ Oct 6 2003, 07:09 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> after watching the news today, i firmly beleive in 50 years, china will be growing space vegetables.
    its weird but the zero gravity makes normal vegetables likw 35% bigger!
    imagine the implications of bulk growing and shipping these giant vegetables!

    <!--QuoteEnd--> </td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'> <!--QuoteEEnd-->
    I seriously doubt that. It costs NASA $10,000 a pound to carry something into orbit. Every shuttle launch costs upwards of $450 million. Unless they're planning on charging $150,000 for every carrot grown in space, I don't see it ever being economically feasible. Unless you're just being sarcastic, in which case <!--emo&:p--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/tounge.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='tounge.gif'><!--endemo-->

    Mining the moon is a more interesting prospect. If they can find water locked up in ice on the moon, then they may be able to create a sustainable environment that does not require supply ships from the Earth. It would be a pretty massive undertaking, however, and even there they have to be concerned with what their objectives are. Creating a second home that is self-sustaining would be fascinating to me, however the costs associated with travelling to the moon and back just don't make any kind of sense.

    I think they need to look for ways to travel faster through space so we can visit our nearest neighboring stars. The requirements for travelling 4.3 light years away are just too mind-boggling for modern science. We need something revolutionary in space travel to even begin contemplating it. Once we do, however, things could get really interesting.
  • MelatoninMelatonin Babbler Join Date: 2003-03-15 Member: 14551Members, Constellation
    dont knock the vegetables thing man... vegetables weigh lots, but seeds dont.
    still its pure speculation <!--emo&:D--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/biggrin.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='biggrin.gif'><!--endemo--> but the kinda of speculation i like to engage in.
  • DreadDread Join Date: 2002-07-24 Member: 993Members
    Maybe they can create 0 gravity farms on earth <!--emo&:)--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/smile.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='smile.gif'><!--endemo-->
  • EvisceratorEviscerator Join Date: 2003-02-24 Member: 13946Members, Constellation
    <!--QuoteBegin--Melatonin+Oct 7 2003, 01:48 PM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (Melatonin @ Oct 7 2003, 01:48 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> dont knock the vegetables thing man... vegetables weigh lots, but seeds dont.
    still its pure speculation <!--emo&:D--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/biggrin.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='biggrin.gif'><!--endemo--> but the kinda of speculation i like to engage in. <!--QuoteEnd--> </td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'> <!--QuoteEEnd-->
    A seed does not magically turn into a vegetable in space. Even on Earth, a seed requires resources to grow into something bigger. Water, minerals, carbon dioxide, nitrogen, et al. Sending seeds alone won't do the trick. You must send along all of the nutrients. Like baking bread, you may start out with only a small handful of yeast, but you need a whole lot of other stuff to make it all come together. Those nutrients of course are not found in orbit. Thus you must equip this fantasy "space farm" with all of the proper nutrients in addition to the seeds, and you must keep supplying nutrients as the crops grow. This requires frequent supply trips. $10,000 for every pound sent into space. You <i>cannot grow anything worth $10,000 a pound</i>, regardless of how much larger the yield. Unless you're growing some kind of highly-sought-after illegal drug.

    The only benefit to growing vegetables in space is to understand <b>why</b> the vegetables grow larger without the presence of gravity, and to try and manipulate that knowledge into something we can use on Earth.
  • MelatoninMelatonin Babbler Join Date: 2003-03-15 Member: 14551Members, Constellation
    ahhh very true.

    but anyways... stop disecting my fantasies... <!--emo&:p--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/tounge.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='tounge.gif'><!--endemo-->
    looking forward to the days of Chinese space vegetables is the only thing that keeps me going! <!--emo&:D--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/biggrin.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='biggrin.gif'><!--endemo-->
  • EvisceratorEviscerator Join Date: 2003-02-24 Member: 13946Members, Constellation
    <!--QuoteBegin--Melatonin+Oct 7 2003, 03:30 PM--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td><b>QUOTE</b> (Melatonin @ Oct 7 2003, 03:30 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'><!--QuoteEBegin--> ahhh very true.

    but anyways... stop disecting my fantasies... <!--emo&:p--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/tounge.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='tounge.gif'><!--endemo-->
    looking forward to the days of Chinese space vegetables is the only thing that keeps me going! <!--emo&:D--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/biggrin.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='biggrin.gif'><!--endemo--> <!--QuoteEnd--> </td></tr></table><span class='postcolor'> <!--QuoteEEnd-->
    Sorry <!--emo&:p--><img src='http://www.unknownworlds.com/forums/html/emoticons/tounge.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='tounge.gif'><!--endemo--> That's the analytical nature in me to question everything.

    How about instead of Chinese space vegetables, let's talk about setting up a livable colony on the moon? If indeed there's ice somewhere on the moon, how feasible would it be create permanent living quarters there? Could we use that as a launching pad to other destinations, without having to spend so much energy getting off the face of the Earth? Is there enough material on the moon to create a self-sufficient environment? What kinds of tools or devices would we need to make it logistically possible? Without artificial gravity, is there any way we'll be able to survive the travel to other solar systems?
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